Nitish Kumar may inevitably rise successfully. Be that as it may, the circumstances are not as good as they were during the 2015 gathering elections. In the last political decision, Nitish Kumar-drove JDU, imprisoned Lalu Prasad-headed RJD and the Congress had collaborated to frame the Grand Alliance. This ends up being an imposing union, which crushed, stopped and cleaned the political race juggernaut of Prime Minister Narendra and home pastor Amit Shah.
However, the current circumstance isn’t as favourable. Here’s why
- Against incumbency
The 15-year incumbency may weigh against Nitish Kumar. The appeal and regard which the JDU president used in the initial three terms have blurred. A few negative advancements have occurred in these 15 years which have disintegrated his picture and that of the JDU. The atmosphere of bygone eras has additionally lessened because of assaults from rivals.
Like other ideological groups, the JDU has likewise not stayed immaculate by inside squabbling. Nonetheless, the infighting in the JDU, especially during ticket conveyance, has been the keenest, prompting disobedience. This may harm the possibilities of the gathering. Three of JDU’s unmistakable Dalit faces – double cross Bihar gathering speaker Uday Narayan Chaudhary, previous priest Ramai Ram and previous priest Shyam Rajak – have deserted to the RJD. While Chaudhary is challenging against NDA partner HAM(S) president and previous CM Jitan Ram Manjhi, Ram is challenging from Bosaha in Muzaffarpur.JDU has removed 15 senior pioneers including sitting Dumraon MLA Dadan Singh Yadav. The uprisings occurring in NDA partners BJP and JD(U) are probably going to profit the RJD.
3. LJP and JDU
There is a lot of bad blood between Chirag Paswan-drove LJP and the JDU. In spite of the fact that both LJP and JDU are BJP-driven NDA accomplices at the Center, LJP has selected not to be an aspect of the coalition in Bihar. Not simply that, LJP has additionally declared that it would handle competitors against practically all the JDU applicants. This would just damage the interests of the NDA. The JDU is challenging on 122 of the 243 gathering seats. With the RJD likewise in the conflict, a three-sided challenge among it and the LJP and the JDU would just assistance the Lalu Prasad’s gathering.
Additionally, the meeting up of Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM and previous Union priest Upendra Kushwaha’s RLSP may eat into the Muslim, Keori and Kurmi vote bank of JDU. The Mahagathbandhan had gathered the Muslim votes in 2015. Nitish Kumar orders the votes of the Keoris and Kurmis. Notwithstanding, these vote banks may get part in these races.
The asserted misusing of the COVID-19 pandemic may cost the JDU beyond a reasonable doubt. At a certain point, Bihar even drove the count of the quantity of dynamic Covid malady cases. The Covid ailment pandemic uncovered Bihar’s wellbeing foundation. A few cases were accounted for of COVID-19 patients being denied confirmation in clinics, specialists declining to treat patients because of lack of PPE units, patients passing on outside emergency clinics, a few specialists absenting themselves from obligation and botch in isolate focuses. While COVID cases continued rising, Bihar enlisted probably the most reduced test per million in the nation. There was a tremendous lack of testing offices too. In a few cases, emergency clinics ran out of beds and the patients were dismissed.
5. Transient workers
The greatest emergency which states like Bihar, Uttar Pradesh and West Bengal looked in the wake of COVID-19 was the removal of traveller workers who had moved to states, for example, Delhi, Punjab, Haryana and even the south looking for occupations. By certain evaluations, Bihar represented 20 lakh traveller workers. With the inconvenience of lockdown from March 25, the nation went to a pounding end. Development work halted. Businesses, shops and even side of the road dhabas where these transient workers – both gifted and untalented – were utilized, were delivered jobless. With no profit to make a decent living, the subject of endurance gazed them in their face. Also, proprietors forced the transient workers to abandon their homes as the last were not in a situation to pay the lease. The focal and state governments likewise were discovered needing as at first, they neglected to mastermind methods of transport for the transient workers. Left with no decision, the traveller workers had to set by walking for their objective. While the UP government masterminded transports to ship workers from Delhi, Punjab and Haryana back home, the Bihar government lingered behind. The Nitish Kumar government may now need to confront the brunt of these traveller workers in the decisions.
Close behind the COVID emergency, floods in August came as a one-two punch for Nitish Kumar. In any event, 40 individuals kicked the bucket and 81.68 lakh individuals were influenced by rising waters in 1,317 panchayats of 130 squares in 16 of the 38 regions, including the state capital Patna, as indicated by authentic reports. Despite the fact that floods are an intermittent yearly misfortune, Nitish Kumar government has neglected to conquer them even in 15 years prompting an enormous number of death of individuals and decimation of property and animals. Yadav scion Tejashwi claimed that the CM was absent as floods unleashed devastation in a few pieces of the state.
Because of uncontrolled disorder, the standard of Bihar under Lalu Prasad and his significant other Rabri Devi had procured the sobriquet of ‘Wilderness Raj’ by the Supreme Court. With the JDU-BJP government coming to control in 2005, that disgrace was at first pulverized. Be that as it may, Bihar saw the arrival of rebellion with the arrival of Mahagathbandhan in the 2015 decisions. Despite the fact that the BJP and JDU met up again in 2017, the NDA government has not had the option to check wrongdoing in the state. The lawfulness circumstance remains very disturbing with various occurrences of snatching for emancipates, blackmail, murder, bank thefts and wrongdoings against ladies. The Muzaffarpur cover home assault case, which became known in 2017, actually stays new in the psyches of the individuals. Upwards of 19 individuals, including previous MLA Brajesh Thakur, were indicted for the situation. During examinations, it was discovered that in any event 34 young lady prisoners of the safe house home were tranquillized and assaulted. As of late, a lady was assaulted and her kid passed on after they were discarded in a channel. By chance, the accuse falls legitimately for Nitish Kumar in light of the fact that he holds the home portfolio. Peace stays a prime issue in the decisions.
The moniker of ‘sushasan babu’ is credited to Nitish Kumar for good administration. Notwithstanding, the resistance has levelled a few claims of misgovernance against the NDA government in an offer to put a stain on Nitish’s ‘sushasan babu’ picture. Previous Union priest Yashwant Sinha is crusading in Bihar and raising two prime issues of disorder and debasement. The Rs 880-crore Srijan trick, including the supposed fake exchange of a lot of government assets in a Bhagalpur-based NGO Srijan Mahila Sahyog Samiti somewhere in the range of 2004 and 2014, had shaken the state. Two recently developed scaffolds have washed away as of late. A month ago, an extension in Kishanganj moved washed away while it was anticipating introduction. Another extension, developed at an expense of about Rs 263.50 crore in Gopalganj, met a comparable destiny in July. The disaster happened precisely a month after it was introduced by Nitish Kumar. In his initial term as CM, Nitish Kumar was commended for the development of streets in the state. Nonetheless, a few streets are presently in a decrepit state due to non-support.
These are the chances which Nitish Kumar faces in the forthcoming races.